← Serie B 2022 · Fri, May 19, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Sudtirol win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Sudtirol +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.82 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Shady Oukhadda · Modena |
| 10' | ⚽ | Nicholas Bonfanti · Modena |
| 23' | ⚽ | Luca Magnino · Modena |
| 37' | 🟨 | Mirko Carretta · Sudtirol |
| 41' | 🟨 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
| 54' | ⚽ | Fabian Tait · Sudtirol |
| 65' | 🟨 | Andrea Seculin · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1295.00 | 291.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1427.07 | 1542.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.80 | -1.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 47.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.89 |
| league points | 45.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 29.50 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |