← Serie B 2022 · Fri, May 19, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Brescia win | 23% | 4.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Brescia −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 40' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Palermo |
| 42' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Palermo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Pablo Rodríguez · Brescia |
| 57' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Palermo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Andrenacci · Brescia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marcin Listkowski · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 291.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 1.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1516.57 | 1426.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.47 | 13.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| league points | 48.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 26.27 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |