← Serie B 2022 · Fri, May 19, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Manganiello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 45% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Como 1907 win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Cittadella |
| 31' | 🟨 | Dario Del Fabro · Cittadella |
| 33' | 🟨 | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 36' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 38' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cesc Fàbregas · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 687.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1448.74 | 1465.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.72 | 4.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| league points | 42.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.76 | 27.64 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |