← Serie B 2022 · Sat, May 13, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Cittadella win | 33% | 3.07 |
| Sudtirol win | 33% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 50% | 2.03 |
| Sudtirol +0 | 50% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Mirko Carretta · Sudtirol |
| 24' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Luca Belardinelli · Sudtirol |
| 42' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Sudtirol |
| 47' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 51' | 🟨 | Elhan Kastrati · Cittadella |
| 65' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 69' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 80' | 🟨 | Gabriel Lunetta · Sudtirol |
| 81' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giacomo Poluzzi · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 285.00 | 681.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1546.97 | 1444.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.58 | 2.54 |
| eye test v1 | -1.18 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.93 | 0.66 |
| league points | 57.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.12 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.25 | 28.95 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |