← Serie B 2022 · Sat, May 13, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Ternana win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ternana −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 44' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ternana |
| 49' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Ternana |
| 62' | ⚽ | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 68' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Ternana |
| 68' | 🟥 | Davide Agazzi · Ternana |
| 70' | ⚽ | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 77' | ⚽ | Moutir Chajia · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paolo Faragò · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 254.00 | 163.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 3.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1454.90 | 1412.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.74 | -30.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 43.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 29.02 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |