← Serie B 2022 · Sat, May 13, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Pisa win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Hjörtur Hermannsson · Pisa |
| 53' | ⚽ | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Pablo Rodríguez · Brescia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Gaetano Masucci · Pisa |
| 73' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Pisa |
| 77' | 🟨 | Flavio Bianchi · Brescia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 79' | ⚽ | Gaetano Masucci · Pisa |
| 87' | 🟨 | Fran Karačić · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Olimpiu Moruțan · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 101.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1426.20 | 1503.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.86 | -46.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 38.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 28.65 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |