← Serie B 2022 · Sat, May 13, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 37% | 2.72 |
| Modena win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Modena +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 24' | 🟨 | Hamza El Kaouakibi · Benevento |
| 30' | ⚽ | Camillo Ciano · Benevento |
| 45' | ⚽ | Daam Foulon · Benevento |
| 48' | 🟨 | Kamil Glik · Benevento |
| 76' | 🟨 | Giorgio Cittadini · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaetano Letizia · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 254.00 | 1289.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1415.26 | 1435.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.76 | -1.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| league points | 32.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 30.13 | 26.69 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |