β Serie B 2022 Β· Sat, May 6, 02:15 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| Spal win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo β0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Spal β0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | β½ (og) | Biagio Meccariello Β· Palermo |
| 35' | β½ | Matteo Brunori Β· Palermo |
| 37' | π¨ | Matteo Brunori Β· Palermo |
| 50' | π¨ | Ivan Marconi Β· Palermo |
| 66' | β½ | Marco Varnier Β· Spal |
| 79' | π¨ | Nicola Rauti Β· Spal |
| 90' | π¨ | Filippo Puletto Β· Spal |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 278.00 | 217.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1517.73 | 1416.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.32 | 19.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 45.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 5.16 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 25.85 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |