← Serie B 2022 · Sat, May 6, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 44% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Bari win | 26% | 3.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Bari −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 34' | ⚽ | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
| 37' | 🟨 | Giorgio Cittadini · Modena |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nicola Mosti · Modena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Fabio Ponsi · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.09 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1282.00 | 674.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1433.40 | 1583.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.43 | 19.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| league points | 44.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 63.00 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.38 | 28.16 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | 1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |