← Serie B 2022 · Sat, May 6, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gualtieri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.28 |
| Sudtirol win | 22% | 4.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ternana −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Ternana |
| 42' | ⚽ | Marco Curto · Sudtirol |
| 45' | 🟨 | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
| 50' | 🟨 | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 76' | 🟨 | Antonio Palumbo · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 156.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.67 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1420.91 | 1538.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.39 | -14.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -1.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.91 |
| league points | 43.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 27.35 | 29.45 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |