← Serie B 2022 · Fri, May 5, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Perugia win | 29% | 3.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Cagliari Calcio +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
| 18' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 18' | 🟨 | Giorgio Altare · Cagliari Calcio |
| 30' | ⚽ | Paulo Azzi · Cagliari Calcio |
| 33' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marco Mancosu · Cagliari Calcio |
| 49' | ⚽ | Christos Kourfalidis · Cagliari Calcio |
| 62' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 87' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 216.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1451.97 | 1560.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.79 | -5.64 |
| eye test v1 | -1.42 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 47.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.82 |
| league points | 36.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 5.18 | 5.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.36 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.09 | 26.46 |
| state index | -0.93 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |