← Serie B 2022 · Mon, May 1, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Modena win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Modena −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Andrea Carboni · Venezia FC |
| 54' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 72' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Luca Tremolada · Modena |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 82' | ⚽ | Francesco Zampano · Venezia FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Fabio Ponsi · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 181.00 | 1277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1494.63 | 1447.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.78 | -1.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 42.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 8.07 | 9.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.97 | 28.80 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |