β Serie B 2022 Β· Mon, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Massa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cittadella win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella β0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bari β0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | π¨ | Romano Perticone Β· Cittadella |
| 51' | β½ | Leonardo Benedetti Β· Bari |
| 64' | π¨ | Nicola Pavan Β· Cittadella |
| 77' | π¨ | Elia Caprile Β· Bari |
| 84' | β½ | Tommy Maistrello Β· Cittadella |
| 90' | π¨ | Andrea Magrassi Β· Cittadella |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 669.00 | 669.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1589.52 | 1426.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.51 | -30.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 60.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.95 | 9.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.84 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.18 | 28.85 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.53 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |