← Serie B 2022 · Mon, May 1, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Palermo win | 22% | 4.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Palermo −0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Alessio Buttaro · Palermo |
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 242.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1463.95 | 1517.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.15 | -19.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 42.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 8.94 | 8.84 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 27.65 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |