← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Apr 30, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Manganiello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Spal win | 35% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Spal +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 7' | 🟨 | Matteo Arena · Spal |
| 12' | ⚽ | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Niccolò Zanellato · Spal |
| 59' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Gabriele Moncini · Spal |
| 75' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.03 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 211.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1417.09 | 1451.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.71 | -40.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -1.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.70 | -0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| league points | 34.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 0.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 27.99 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |