← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Apr 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 48% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Ascoli win | 24% | 4.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Como 1907 −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 39' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Ascoli |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nicola Leali · Ascoli |
| 77' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 233.00 | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1465.52 | 1470.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.76 | -13.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 41.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 27.75 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |