← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Apr 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cittadella win | 23% | 4.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.5 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Genoa CFC +0.5 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 28' | 🟨 | Federico Giraudo · Cittadella |
| 38' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 39' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 42' | 🟨 | Federico Giraudo · Cittadella |
| 42' | 🟥 | Federico Giraudo · Cittadella |
| 47' | 🟨 | Ignacio Lores Varela · Cittadella |
| 56' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · Genoa CFC |
| 67' | 🟨 | Denis Drăguş · Genoa CFC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 70' | ⚽ | Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa CFC |
| 73' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Cittadella |
| 77' | 🟨 | Milan Badelj · Genoa CFC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 8 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Genoa CFC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 660.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1432.70 | 1630.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.65 | 22.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| league points | 37.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 28.60 |
| state index | -0.77 | 0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |