← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Apr 16, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Pisa win | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Pisa +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Pisa |
| 49' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ternana |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 75' | ⚽ | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 76' | 🟨 | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 77' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valerio Mantovani · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 136.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1433.32 | 1548.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.66 | -20.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| league points | 40.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.05 | 5.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 28.45 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |