← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Apr 15, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Sudtirol win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.42 |
| Over | 32% | 2.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 13' | 🟨 | Francesco Donati · Ascoli |
| 36' | 🟨 | Filippo De Col · Sudtirol |
| 40' | 🟨 | Gabriel Lunetta · Sudtirol |
| 58' | 🟨 | Michele Collocolo · Ascoli |
| 60' | 🟨 | Matteo Rover · Sudtirol |
| 71' | 🟨 | Francesco Forte · Ascoli |
| 75' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Ascoli |
| 81' | 🟨 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
| 85' | 🟨 | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 4 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 73.00 | 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1460.00 | 1544.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.09 | 5.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.89 |
| league points | 39.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 35.40 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 29.25 |
| state index | -0.60 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |