← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Apr 15, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Perugia win | 12% | 8.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Perugia −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
| 41' | ⚽ | Morten Frendrup · Genoa CFC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Paolo Bartolomei · Perugia |
| 47' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 70' | ⚽ | Radu Drăguşin · Genoa CFC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 21 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genoa CFC | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 135.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1623.95 | 1461.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.67 | -21.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 61.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.98 | 28.85 |
| state index | 1.12 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |