← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Apr 15, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 |
| Brescia win | 30% | 3.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Spal −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Spal |
| 5' | 🟨 | Nicolo Contiliano · Spal |
| 11' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Marcin Listkowski · Brescia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Flavio Bianchi · Brescia |
| 74' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Spal |
| 77' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · Spal |
| 80' | ⚽ | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 196.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1416.21 | 1412.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.74 | -4.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| league points | 32.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.88 | 25.98 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |