← Serie B 2022 · Mon, Apr 10, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 40% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Modena win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Tommaso Silvestri · Modena |
| 46' | ⚽ | Fabio Gerli · Modena |
| 70' | 🟨 | Artur Ioniță · Modena |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marco Armellino · Modena |
| 79' | 🟨 | Aljaž Struna · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Damiano Cancellieri · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 0 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 191.00 | 1256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1473.76 | 1437.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.35 | -19.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 34.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 4.78 | 7.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.59 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 29.76 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |