← Serie B 2022 · Wed, Apr 5, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
| Reggina win | 28% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
| 28' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 31' | 🟨 | Devid Eugene Bouah · Reggina |
| 38' | ⚽ | Hernani · Reggina |
| 46' | 🟨 | Aljaž Struna · Perugia |
| 47' | ⚽ (og) | Stefano Gori · Reggina |
| 78' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 82' | ⚽ | Luigi Canotto · Reggina |
| 87' | 🟨 | Hernani · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 186.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1493.77 | 1433.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.00 | -35.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| league points | 34.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 4.17 | 4.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.60 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 30.01 | 29.94 |
| state index | -0.03 | -1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |