← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: E. Feliciani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Perugia win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Gabriele Angella · Perugia |
| 18' | 🟨 | Marcus Rohdén · Frosinone Calcio |
| 34' | 🟨 | Samuel Di Carmine · Perugia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Frosinone Calcio |
| 62' | ⚽ | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 77' | ⚽ | Samuele Mulattieri · Frosinone Calcio |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sergio Kalaj · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yeferson Paz · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 182.00 | 761.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1492.13 | 1609.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.75 | -14.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.10 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 33.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 14.05 | 14.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.44 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.23 | 25.43 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |