← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Como 1907 win | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Como 1907 +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 45' | ⚽ | Antonio Candela · Venezia FC |
| 48' | ⚽ | Tommaso Milanese · Venezia FC |
| 50' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Andrija Novakovich · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Filippo Scaglia · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Filippo Scaglia · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟥 | Filippo Scaglia · Como 1907 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 151.00 | 212.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1466.07 | 1465.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.05 | 40.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| league points | 33.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 26.97 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |