← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 43% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Brescia win | 26% | 3.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Marcin Listkowski · Brescia |
| 24' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 32' | 🟨 | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 42' | ⚽ | Pedro Mendes · Ascoli |
| 47' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Ascoli |
| 53' | 🟨 | Michele Collocolo · Ascoli |
| 57' | 🟨 | Andrea Papetti · Brescia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 63' | 🟥 | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Davide Marsura · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 59.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1460.24 | 1410.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.92 | -15.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 36.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.19 | 25.57 |
| state index | -0.46 | -1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |