← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Sudtirol win | 18% | 6.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Sudtirol −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Simone Mazzocchi · Sudtirol |
| 30' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
| 42' | 🟨 | Paulo Azzi · Cagliari Calcio |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Sudtirol |
| 52' | 🟨 | Alessandro Celli · Sudtirol |
| 63' | 🟨 | Alberto Dossena · Cagliari Calcio |
| 86' | 🟨 | Gabriele Zappa · Cagliari Calcio |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Joaquín Larrivey · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cagliari Calcio | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Unipol Domus |
| coach days | 90.00 | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1566.13 | 1553.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.93 | 28.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.85 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.00 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| league points | 45.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 31.40 |
| rest days | 13.86 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -1.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 29.02 |
| state index | 0.93 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -1.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |