← Serie B 2022 · Fri, Mar 31, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Reggina win | 14% | 7.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Genoa CFC −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Stefano Sturaro · Genoa CFC |
| 36' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Genoa CFC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jérémy Ménez · Reggina |
| 53' | 🟨 | Thiago Cionek · Reggina |
| 65' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Reggina |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hernani · Reggina |
| 70' | 🟨 | Milan Badelj · Genoa CFC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alessandro Vogliacco · Genoa CFC |
| 81' | 🟨 | Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa CFC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Riccardo Gagliolo · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michele Camporese · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genoa CFC | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 120.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1623.09 | 1437.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.94 | -40.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.75 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | 0.68 |
| league points | 57.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 13.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 28.01 |
| state index | 1.24 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |