← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cagliari Calcio win | 30% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
| 41' | 🟨 | Michele Camporese · Reggina |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
| 56' | 🟨 | Paulo Azzi · Cagliari Calcio |
| 58' | 🟨 | Boris Radunović · Cagliari Calcio |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jérémy Ménez · Reggina |
| 62' | 🟨 | Marco Mancosu · Cagliari Calcio |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Marco Mancosu · Cagliari Calcio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Riccardo Gagliolo · Reggina |
| 81' | 🟨 | Vincenzo Millico · Cagliari Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| Gabriele Zappa · Cagliari Calcio |
| coach days | 260.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.36 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1453.93 | 1549.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.09 | 12.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 46.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| league points | 42.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 7.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 26.88 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |