← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Mar 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Spal win | 23% | 4.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Sudtirol −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zaro · Sudtirol |
| 40' | 🟨 | Nicolo Contiliano · Spal |
| 41' | 🟨 | Matteo Arena · Spal |
| 42' | 🟨 | Luca Belardinelli · Sudtirol |
| 45' | 🟨 | Enrico Alfonso · Spal |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fabian Tait · Sudtirol |
| 74' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zaro · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 27 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 229.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1546.34 | 1404.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.55 | -18.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 45.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| league points | 48.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.78 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.22 | 27.29 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |