β Serie B 2022 Β· Sat, Mar 18, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Venezia FC win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC β0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Ascoli β0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | π¨ | Marcello Falzerano Β· Ascoli |
| 70' | π¨ | Petko Hristov Β· Venezia FC |
| 77' | π¨ | Andrija Novakovich Β· Venezia FC |
| 90' | π¨ | Davide Marsura Β· Ascoli |
| 90' | π¨ | Mikael Ellertsson Β· Venezia FC |
| 90' | β½ | Andrea Carboni Β· Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 45.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1472.47 | 1453.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.10 | -12.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 36.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 26.09 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |