← Serie B 2022 · Fri, Mar 17, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Modena win | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Modena −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
| 25' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Palermo |
| 30' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
| 47' | ⚽ | Edoardo Soleri · Palermo |
| 56' | ⚽ | Valerio Verre · Palermo |
| 59' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Aurelio · Palermo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Palermo |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Luca Vido · Palermo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 228.00 | 1232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1536.55 | 1449.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.28 | -13.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -1.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 46.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 39.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 28.47 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |