β Serie B 2022 Β· Sun, Mar 12, 03:15 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Chiffi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Spal win | 32% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal β0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Cosenza β0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | π¨ | Alessandro Tripaldelli Β· Spal |
| 24' | π¨ | Biagio Meccariello Β· Spal |
| 42' | π¨ | Manuel Marras Β· Cosenza |
| 48' | π¨ | Massimo Zilli Β· Cosenza |
| 65' | β½ | Marco Brescianini Β· Cosenza |
| 70' | π¨ | Matteo Arena Β· Spal |
| 73' | π¨ | Andrea Rispoli Β· Cosenza |
| 88' | π¨ | Michele Rigione Β· Cosenza |
| 90' | π¨ | Marco Nasti Β· Cosenza |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 131.00 | 162.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1349.41 | 1414.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.95 | -15.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 47.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| league points | 26.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 7.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 26.59 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |