← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Mar 11, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Bari win | 32% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Bari +0 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Marcus Rohdén · Frosinone Calcio |
| 18' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Bari |
| 19' | 🟨 | Raffaele Pucino · Bari |
| 42' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 52' | 🟨 | Francesco Vicari · Bari |
| 66' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Caso · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 618.00 | 740.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1577.31 | 1626.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.47 | 9.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| league points | 49.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.05 | 6.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 26.13 |
| state index | 0.55 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |