← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Mar 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 36% | 2.79 |
| Pisa win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Pisa +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
| 70' | 🟨 | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 73' | 🟨 | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marco Armellino · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riccardo Gagno · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaetano Masucci · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1226.00 | 191.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1437.35 | 1567.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.96 | 25.85 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| league points | 35.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.72 | 27.84 |
| state index | -0.53 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |