← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Mar 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Irrati
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Brescia win | 23% | 4.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Antonio Candela · Venezia FC |
| 50' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 58' | 🟨 | Luca Ceppitelli · Venezia FC |
| 61' | ⚽ | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 130.00 | 38.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1456.59 | 1418.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.94 | -26.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.00 | 25.79 |
| state index | -0.46 | -1.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |