← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Mar 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 39% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Palermo win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Tommy Maistrello · Cittadella |
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Francesco Di Mariano · Palermo |
| 35' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Carriero · Cittadella |
| 37' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Palermo |
| 39' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 45' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 64' | ⚽ | Francesco Di Mariano · Palermo |
| 74' | ⚽ | Tommy Maistrello · Cittadella |
| 77' | 🟨 | Valerio Verre · Palermo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 85' | 🟥 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Federico Giraudo · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 25 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 618.00 | 222.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1456.35 | 1537.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.63 | -10.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| league points | 34.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.72 | 27.01 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |