← Serie B 2022 · Fri, Mar 10, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ascoli win | 24% | 4.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cagliari Calcio −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Ascoli |
| 54' | 🟨 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 56' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
| 61' | ⚽ | Marco Mancosu · Cagliari Calcio |
| 82' | 🟨 | Edoardo Goldaniga · Cagliari Calcio |
| 83' | 🟨 | Davide Marsura · Ascoli |
| 84' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
| 88' | ⚽ | Gabriele Zappa · Cagliari Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cagliari Calcio | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Unipol Domus |
| coach days | 68.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1537.27 | 1484.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.92 | 21.08 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.76 |
| league points | 39.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.50 | 27.11 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |