← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Mar 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Modena win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Modena −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Luca Magnino · Modena |
| 29' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pierozzi · Como 1907 |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tommaso Arrigoni · Como 1907 |
| 43' | 🟨 | Sebastien De Maio · Modena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 51' | ⚽ | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 185.00 | 1220.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1440.31 | 1445.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.24 | 11.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 32.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 3.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 28.40 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |