← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Mar 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Abisso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Bari win | 31% | 3.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0 | 55% | 1.80 |
| Bari +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.53 |
| Over | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 17' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 42' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 42' | 🟥 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Walid Cheddira · Bari |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mattia Maita · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 32.00 | 612.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1494.09 | 1567.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.23 | 28.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| league points | 36.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 3.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.84 | 29.76 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |