← Serie B 2022 · Wed, Mar 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ascoli win | 27% | 3.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Modena −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 75' | ⚽ | Pedro Mendes · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tommaso Silvestri · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1216.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 3.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1456.76 | 1483.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.63 | -7.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| league points | 35.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 4.27 | 3.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 28.87 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |