← Serie B 2022 · Wed, Mar 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Como 1907 win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Alessio Iovine · Como 1907 |
| 8' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 15' | 🟨 | Álex Blanco · Como 1907 |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ryder Matos · Perugia |
| 52' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 68' | 🟨 | Edoardo Iannoni · Perugia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Filippo Scaglia · Como 1907 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Cas Odenthal · Como 1907 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Samuel Di Carmine · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Cagnano · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 151.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1485.11 | 1437.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.46 | 21.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.68 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.07 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.59 | 27.55 |
| state index | 0.61 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |