← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 |
| Spal win | 13% | 7.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Spal −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Stefano Sturaro · Genoa CFC |
| 77' | ⚽ | Radu Drăguşin · Genoa CFC |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nicola Rauti · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eddie Salcedo · Genoa CFC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa CFC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Eddie Salcedo · Genoa CFC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genoa CFC | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 86.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1595.16 | 1421.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.65 | -24.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 43.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| league points | 44.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 1.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 27.28 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |