← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 48% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Modena win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Reggina −0.5 | 49% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Niccolò Pierozzi · Reggina |
| 35' | 🟨 | Edoardo Duca · Modena |
| 39' | ⚽ | Luca Tremolada · Modena |
| 51' | 🟨 | Tommaso Silvestri · Modena |
| 59' | ⚽ | David Strelec · Reggina |
| 64' | 🟨 | Niccolò Pierozzi · Reggina |
| 88' | 🟨 | Fabio Ponsi · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hernani · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mauro Coppolaro · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 239.00 | 1212.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1468.43 | 1464.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.96 | 31.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 47.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 39.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.06 | 28.23 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |