← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 37% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Palermo win | 31% | 3.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Palermo +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.48 |
| Over | 34% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Moustapha Cisse · Sudtirol |
| 14' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Palermo |
| 32' | 🟨 | Edoardo Masciangelo · Palermo |
| 48' | ⚽ | Edoardo Soleri · Palermo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Moustapha Cisse · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 208.00 | 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1524.57 | 1537.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.50 | 17.47 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 40.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.21 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.92 | 27.11 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |