← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Brescia win | 32% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Brescia +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Leonardo Benedetti · Bari |
| 71' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mattia Maita · Bari |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 24.00 | 604.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1426.06 | 1549.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -60.26 | -21.00 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| league points | 25.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.60 | 29.83 |
| state index | -1.66 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |