← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Cittadella win | 31% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Ternana −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Anthony Partipilo · Ternana |
| 20' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Cittadella |
| 32' | ⚽ | Salim Diakité · Ternana |
| 56' | 🟥 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
| 67' | ⚽ | Giovanni Crociata · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Giovanni Crociata · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 86.00 | 604.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1441.72 | 1458.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.60 | 21.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| league points | 34.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.66 | 26.63 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |