← Serie B 2022 · Fri, Feb 24, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Perugia win | 28% | 3.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Pisa −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Paolo Bartolomei · Perugia |
| 31' | 🟥 | Hjörtur Hermannsson · Pisa |
| 36' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 40' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Pisa |
| 51' | ⚽ | Olimpiu Moruțan · Pisa |
| 54' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 58' | ⚽ | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 65' | 🟨 | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
| 76' | 🟥 | Yeferson Paz · Perugia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaetano Masucci · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 176.00 | 146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1552.58 | 1491.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.23 | 30.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| league points | 35.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 28.80 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |