← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Feb 19, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 38% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Modena win | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Modena +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.59 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Radu Drăguşin · Genoa CFC |
| 30' | 🟨 | Luca Magnino · Modena |
| 33' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
| 55' | 🟨 | Josep Martínez · Genoa CFC |
| 55' | ⚽ (og) | George Pușcaș · Modena |
| 57' | 🟨 | Andrea Poli · Modena |
| 59' | 🟥 | Shady Oukhadda · Modena |
| 77' | 🟨 | Mattia Aramu · Genoa CFC |
| 85' | ⚽ | Mattia Bani · Genoa CFC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Genoa CFC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1206.00 | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1462.84 | 1597.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.20 | 4.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 34.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 27.43 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |