← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 18, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Ternana win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Ternana −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 54' | ⚽ | Gregorio Luperini · Perugia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Francesco Cassata · Ternana |
| 76' | ⚽ | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gregorio Luperini · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 10 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 140.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1478.38 | 1455.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.71 | 9.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 26.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.60 | 28.80 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |